Environmental Assistance to Eastern Europa - Annual Report 1998
4. Assessment
4. Assessment
Denmark’s
environmental assistance to Eastern Europe
Assessment of Denmark’s environmental assistance:
Conclusions and recommendations
In July 1997, the Danish Environmental Protection Agency
(DEPA) initiated an external assessment of Danish environmental assistance
to Eastern Europe since the start of the scheme in 1991 up to and
including 1996. The assessment was made by Mikael Skou Andersen, Associate
Professor at Aarhus University, in co-operation with PLS Consult and KPMG
C. Jespersen, and was completed in the autumn of 1998.
The assessment consists of three parts: 1) A project
assessment comprising questionnaires to all project contractors on the 496
projects supported during the period 1991-96 and a detailed assessment of
47 selected projects, 2) a country review dealing with the countries’
national environmental policies and their views on environmental
assistance to Eastern Europe and 3) a main report with conclusions and
recommendations.
Below is a brief summary of the main conclusions in the
three parts of the assessment:
Project assessment
In the period under review, Poland was the main recipient,
followed by Lithuania and Russia. The areas of assistance were
concentrated on water and air, including energy production and sustainable
energy.
At the beginning of the scheme, the main emphasis was on
TA-projects, but from 1993, there was a marked shift in favour of
investment projects. For the period as a whole, an average of 25% of the
support was granted for equipment, but for the years 1993-96, this
percentage reached as much as 35%.
342 completed projects showed that co-financing has been
most pronounced in Poland, Lithuania, Slovakia and the Czech Republic,
whereas it was very limited in countries like Romania and Ukraine. Some of
the support was granted for preliminary projects with a view to catalysing
loans from international financial institutions (IFI-loans). Twelve
projects have thus secured a financing basis of approx. DKK 3.5 billion or
well over three times as much as the support framework. At the same time,
IFI financing paves the way for the participation of other donors.
The assessment of the environmental effects is based on
DEPA’s database and on the responses obtained by means of the
questionnaires sent to all project contractors. Generally, the
environmental effects realised were more limited than had been estimated
in advance. If, however, we include the expected environmental effects of
projects still under implementation, the environmental assistance granted
to Eastern Europe has meant a substantial reduction of emissions,
especially of SO2, but also to some
extent of CO2 and NOx.
In the area of waste water, the realised and expected environmental
effects have been calculated at about 50,000 tonnes of BOD equivalent to
treatment of waste water from about 2.3 million person equivalents. In a
number of projects there has been a drop in the effect from the beginning
till the end of a project.
The 47 selected projects were assessed on the basis of
seven parameters:
| Involvement and co-operation
| | Target fulfilment
| | Co-financing
| | Communication of results
| | Environmental effect
| | Contribution to sustainable development
| | Transfer of relevant technology/know-how |
This part of the assessment shows that the results of 35
projects out of the total of 47 projects were rated “satisfactory” or
“very satisfactory”, while 8 were rated as “less satisfactory” and
only 4 as “unsatisfactory”. None of the projects were rated as “very
unsatisfactory”.
Country assessment
The country assessment has included 8 out of the 12
countries participating in the co-operation with DESF, viz: Poland,
Lithuania, Estonia, Czech Republic, Romania, Russia and Ukraine. The main
conclusions are the following:
| International environmental assistance plays a part, especially in
the Baltic republics, where 35-50% of environmental investments are
procured in this way. In Poland, the share is 5%, and the demand is
here for technology and know-how. Measured as a share of the GDP,
Poland and the Czech Republic spent the bulk of resources on
environmental investments among the countries under review.
| | Russia, Ukraine and Romania receive very limited environmental
support from Western sources.
| | Denmark has been the largest bilateral donor in Poland, Lithuania,
Slovakia, Romania and Ukraine.
| | The environmental assistance is characterised by a sharp distinction
between countries with and without prospects of EU membership.
| | The problems in Russia, Ukraine and Romania affect public health.
| | The co-operation with the countries under review is generally good:
Denmark is commended for supporting proper investments and for
displaying great flexibility. |
| More equipment and less consulting is requested, however. |
Summarising the main report
Based on the project and country assessments, the main
report includes summarising conclusions and recommendations and more
strategic considerations. These are stated briefly in the following:
Conclusions
| The beginning was difficult, but since 1993, the support scheme has
developed positively, with more emphasis on investments and on a
closer dialogue with the recipients.
| | Co-financing on the projects is 2:1 in proportion to the grants and
has resulted in a return percentage of not less than 130%.
| | The efforts made to persuade International Financing Institutions to
grant loans have resulted in substantial amounts being provided as
loans towards the restoration of the environment in Eastern Europe.
| | On the basis of reviewing 47 representative projects, project
implementation has been found satisfactory.
| | Co-operation with the recipient countries’ national authorities
has generally functioned well – the results obtained in Lithuania
have been especially impressive. Recipients request more equipment,
however, and less consulting.
| | Environmental effects are good, but somewhat smaller than assumed
earlier.
| | The new tender procedure is estimated to lead to larger projects,
but it is not very flexible and has to be be supplemented with the
application model. |
Recommendations
| include the health-related aspect, especially
water supply;
| | announce annual amounts available for projects;
| | extend and improve the network of country co-ordinators;
| | increase the hardware share to an average of 50%;
| | improve the project assessment tools;
| | encourage the participation of local project partners;
| | introduce more standardised grants;
| | be careful about waste incineration projects;
| | establish fixed deadlines for consideration of project proposals;
| | improve monitoring of major investment projects;
| | improve the measuring of environmental effects;
| | improve the visibility of Danish-supported projects;
| | transfer grants directly to the Polish EcoFund;
| | reconsider the need for assistance to the Czech Republic and
Hungary;
| | set up more reform requirements in Russia in co-operation with other
donors;
| | place environmental attachés at selected Danish embassies. |
The final result of the assessment is quite positive.
Generally, the DESF-scheme has yielded a satisfactory return.
DEPA’s follow-up on the assessment
Generally, DEPA supports most of the recommendations of
the assessment. The form of the environmental support is adjusted on a
regular basis, and in 1999 a new project manual will replace the former
“Guidelines No. 14” from DEPA. At the same time, efforts are being
made to tighten the internal procedures in a so-called “cookery book”
with internal instructions, rules, etc. In a memo of December 8, 1998 to
the Advisory Committee to the Danish Environmental Support Fund for
Eastern Europe, DEPA explains how it intends to follow up on each
recommendation. This memo has been reproduced in the following (with the
recommendations quoted verbatim from the assessment):
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“To include health-related aspects of environmental
protection, particularly regarding water supply, more firmly in the
DESF-mandate”.
Water-supply projects ought to be given higher priority than has so
far been the case. It is logical to combine waste water projects with
drinking water projects and regard it as a whole for the sake of total
water investments in e.g. towns. Furthermore, the health-related
aspects ought to be included more directly than has been the case,
when transboundary and global pollution aspects together with nature
conservation have been the most important parameters. In major parts
of the overall strategy material, including the Environmental Action
Plan for Eastern Europe, EAP, people’s health is given the highest
priority, which is also generally the case in environmental action as
such. Besides, it is often easier to promote environmental projects in
these countries if the health aspect is emphasised in the arguments
put forward. Especially in NIS there seem to be good possibilities of
putting more emphasis on the health aspect in connection with
environmental problems. This ought to be done especially when
assessing water projects, but this can also be relevant in the area of
waste and in connection with air pollution in towns. DEPA thus agrees
that health aspects should be accounted for when assessing the
results, although quantitative and qualitative parameters have to be
identified first.
-
“To announce to the recipient countries the
approximate amount available for projects in each country to allow the
recipients to consider their priorities more carefully”.
Announcing the annual amount available for each country will make it
easier for the recipient countries to prioritise among environmental
projects for which Danish support is applied for. In 1998, the amounts
available have actually been accessible in DEPA in connection with the
first pipeline at the beginning of the year. In several cases, these
amounts have been announced to the recipient countries, but not in any
systematic way. Beginning in 1999 in connection with the first
pipeline for the new year, these amounts will be reported by the
Danish country co-ordinators at their first meetings with the
recipient countries. In this connection, it is important to emphasise
that the amounts available are guidelines only and cannot be
transferred from one year to the next.
-
“To strengthen co-operation with the recipient
countries by extending the network of country co-ordinators to all the
involved countries”.
Since the conclusion of the assessment, local project co-ordinators
have been appointed in Poland and Bulgaria. At the present time, there
are no co-ordinators in Russia, Ukraine, the Czech Republic or
Hungary. For the past two years, DEPA has been discussing the
appointment of a co-ordinator in Russia, but unsuccessfully, as the
Russian State Committee for Protection of Environment is reluctant.
Intensive negotiations are likewise going on with Ukraine. As far as
Hungary and the Czech Republic are concerned, DEPA finds that no local
co-ordinators ought to be appointed, as it is recommended in the
Assessment that support for these countries is being reconsidered, cf.
below.
-
“To increase the use of the tender method and
provide an effort to increase the average hardware share of DESF
grants to a minimum of 50 per cent”.
At the present time, the distribution for 1998 between the tender and
the application model is estimated to be about 50/50, in other words,
a small increase on last year. At the end of the year, a final count
will be made. The tender model has first priority, but the application
model is a good supplement and ensures the full utilisation of the
allocated financial framework. Furthermore, the application model
ensures that a broader section of the Danish resource base, especially
industrial enterprises, are in direct contact with the scheme, and it
has turned out that applications rather than tenders increase the
possibilities of co-financing. In addition, the recipient countries
are widely interested in the application model.
DEPA finds that the recommendation to increase the hardware share of
DESF grants to a minimum of 50% is too narrow and isolated. For the
period 1993-96, the hardware share was 35% on average, and for the
investment projects alone, the share was around 50%. Investment
projects have a great share of consulting in connection with project
design, project management, implementation of equipment, etc. It is
difficult to imagine that this element could be much smaller if, at
the same time, we wish to ensure the delivery, installation and
optimal use of the equipment and the realisation of the objectives of
the project. Moreover, further consulting is required if we wish to
improve the ability to measure the environmental effects through
ex-ante and ex-post measuring. Another factor is that the recipient
countries’ co-financing to a great extent covers the purchase of
hardware, which brings the hardware share to as much as 80% on average
for investment projects.
Other factors seem to indicate that we ought to strengthen our TA. It
is becoming more and more important to see Danish environmental
support in an international perspective. In the EU approximation
countries it is important that Danish environmental support is
targeted at EU environmental requirements and that we, as far as
possible, pass on our experience from Danish environmental
administration at national, regional and local levels with a view to
strengthening the Eastern countries’ own institutions. Furthermore,
we have to take advantage of our flexibility to assist the EU
approximation countries in identifying a number of investment projects
to channel the substantial EU resources earmarked for the
approximation process. If this is not done by donors, it is generally
assessed that the recipient countries will not be able to design a
sufficiently qualified project pipeline and invite tenders for the
projects.
The need to help the recipient countries prepare projects for
international financing is relevant not only in the EU approximation
countries, but also to a great extent in NIS. Moreover, international
co-operation will require more and more that we follow up on
compliance with international conventions. We have to help the
countries in the East meet their obligations in these areas, and we
have to make an effort to get more countries to participate. Also this
work will pull in the direction of a higher TA share.
And last but not least, in future, an increasing part of the
environmental support will have to be spent on financing the
TA-component in relation to projects under the MKØ-scheme
(Environmental Soft-Loan Programme for Eastern Europe), as MKØ is
used mainly for equipment. This should be followed closely in the near
future, however, as it is a new model.
The conclusion is that DEPA agrees with the recommendation to focus on
investment, but emphasises the need to think of alternative sources of
financing equipment; otherwise, the resources available under the DESF
facility will not be put to the best use.
-
“To advertise transparently the possibility to
submit applications for DESF grants at specified deadlines, with
indication of priority activ- ities and countries”.
The assessment team recommends making the application model more
visible by advertising the possibility of submitting applications by
specified deadlines, with an indication of priority activities and
countries.
DEPA is planning to hold a public meeting at the beginning of next
year to focus attention on the possibilities under the DESF, present
the new project manual and, at the same time, advertise application
rounds.
-
“To revise the project assessment system to include
also financial cost-effectiveness methods, providing yardsticks for
reasonable costs per unit of emission reduction”.
There is a need to improve the existing project assessment tools by
using the cost-effectiveness criterion.
As an immediate follow-up on the assessment, DEPA has roughly
estimated the pollution reduction per krone granted to waste water
projects. As the result of waste water projects, there has thus been a
nitrogen reduction equivalent to the nitrogen pollution from 3.2
million person equivalents. If the result of this treatment is
compared to the total amount allocated to waste water treatment, the
cost is in the region of DKK 100 per person equivalent. Danish
consultants have calculated the corresponding initial costs of
expanding Danish treatment plants as a result of the Water Environment
Plan to have been in the region of DKK 135-150 per person equivalent.
The figures are interesting, and it is certain that a better
understanding of this can lead to more focused assistance.
A proposal for cost-effectiveness indicators will be prepared, ie a
set of yardsticks for what may be regarded as reasonable costs of a
given emission reduction, and this will be integrated into the project
assessment.
-
“To encourage the participation of technical experts
and companies from the recipient countries in the projects and to
provide credit for such inclusion in the project assessment”.
It has turned out that involving Eastern European technical experts
and firms in the implementation of the projects ensures a markedly
greater success than if Danes carry out most of the tasks on their
own. The project itself becomes much better technically, any problems
arising are solved more quickly, the transfer of know-how is
increased, and the possibility of spreading the results increases. The
criterion is already included in the scoring system and in the
assessment parameters for the tender projects, but it is necessary to
give this parameter a more central place in connection with the
assessment of the project contractor’s qualifications. In principle,
the Eastern Europeans ought to pay for these services themselves, but
from Danish quarters, there should be a better understanding of the
financing of such services. This is already the case to a great extent
today.
-
“To develop more routine project packages than can
be replicated with fixed shares of DESF grants, in particular for
waste water treatment, coal-to-gas conversions and cleaner technology,
and in general to allow replications of projects where reasonable”.
DEPA takes up a sympathetic attitude to the recommendation to
introduce more standardised package solutions. Even today, there are a
number of examples of projects that are replicated, both within the
same country and in other countries, such as the “no-dig” methods
of sewer rehabilitation, waste water treatment, removal of stocks of
old pesticides, geothermal plants, decentralised power heating,
projects in the area of nature, etc. It is true that there have been
insufficient replications of projects. This is a problem, especially
in the Russian-speaking countries, and the reason is that these
countries cannot afford to replicate the projects in other towns or in
other factories, whereas replication has been much more frequent in
for example Poland. Therefore, it is important to emphasise the
possibility of replication whenever it is realistic, and, at the same
time, to make greater efforts to ensure this replication and to follow
up on the projects. This ensures the greatest environmental effect of
the least resources.
1999 will see the development of more of such package solutions in
areas with limited possibilities of replication.
-
“To avoid projects related to waste incineration,
except where clear and firm commitments can be provided ex-ante by the
relevant authorities”.
So far, DESF has been reluctant to establish waste incineration
plants. Several preliminary projects have been established, but until
this date, no plants have been opened. In connection with waste
incineration plants, it is very important to have clear indications of
attitudes on the part of the recipient countries. But the question
should be seen in the context of the concrete environmental problem
that the incineration of waste could solve.
Whenever possible, DESF follows the Danish prioritisation regarding
waste removal – ie 1) cleaner technology; 2) recycling, 3)
incineration; 4) depositing – and international rules (agreements,
conventions and EU Directives) applying to the provision of grants for
waste projects in Eastern Europe. According to Danish experience, for
a large number of waste fractions, incineration is a better solution
than depositing – also from a purely environmental point of view.
But at the same time, from a technical-economic point of view –
incineration is a far more complex solution, which it is extremely
difficult to implement safely in Eastern Europe.
An analysis of the possibilities and limitations of the incineration
solution carried out in the form of a feasibility study – also
accounting for the compliance of the plant with EU legislation and
international agreements – is a prerequisite to supporting
incineration as a solution to a waste problem.
Incineration solutions are necessary in the future waste treatment
structure in Eastern Europe for two primary reasons: First, there will
be fractions of hazardous waste that cannot be treated any other way,
and incineration is the internationally recommended solution to the
problems of the vast stocks of old pesticides in Eastern Europe that
represent a serious environmental and health threat. Second,
incineration ranks higher than depositing in an EU framework, and the
EU landfill directive imposes limits on the amount of biodegradable
waste to be deposited, which animates the Member States to
incineration of refuse and/or increased recycling.
-
“To provide technical assistance to further the
strengthening of environmental funds and establish transparent and
accessible information systems in the environmental ministries”.
Strengthening the environmental funds is already a high-priority
activity which DESF will continue to work on. Greater transparency and
access to information in the Eastern European environmental ministries
will be promoted as a follow-up on the Publicity Convention on
citizens’ environmental rights, the “Aarhus Convention”.
-
“To establish fixed and guaranteed deadlines for
consideration of project proposals”.
Under the application model, the maximum time for consideration of
applications is four months. If the applicant is asked to elaborate on
specific questions, the time for consideration may be prolonged, but
the time allowed for such questions should not be included in the four
months. Several project contractors have expressed the wish to have
more precise indications of when to expect a reply.
In future, the practice of handling applications will be tightened in
the project manual and in internal guidelines, so that applicants will
feel better informed.
-
“To introduce firm procedures for monitoring and
inspection of DESF investment projects, possibly also by third
parties”.
Monitoring of projects ought to be improved, in particular in the form
of inspection. The practice followed in several projects today and to
be incorporated into future guidelines is the following: An inception
report is to be handed in after about three months, and subsequently,
quarterly progress reports and, at the conclusion of the project, a
final report is to be submitted.
In addition, it is the country co-ordinator’s responsibility that
the individual projects are visited by DEPA to the extent possible,
but for projects of longer duration (2-3 years), the project ought to
be visited at least twice; once at the beginning of the project, for
example in connection with the inception meeting, and once during the
project period, preferably towards the end of the project, where there
will be more to see in the case of investment projects. In certain
cases, responsibility for the project visits can be assigned to the
local project co-ordinator, who also has the responsibility for a
closer follow-up on the projects locally.
Experience has shown that institutional projects often have to be
followed more closely, for example by the consultant participating in
some of the project management meetings. In connection with the
preparation and planning of the individual project, the extent of the
need for inspection will be decided upon. Standards for inspection are
being elaborated as part of the internal guidelines.
DEPA is also considering whether to introduce mid-term assessments in
the case of major investments and TA projects running for more than
three years or in the case of problem projects. Subsequent project
assessments are made and will continue to be made in selected cases.
These assessments should be conducted by third parties.
-
“To introduce firm procedures for ex-ante and
ex-post monitoring of emissions, in order to substantiate
environmental effects of DESF projects”.
It is necessary to find a way of measuring and verifying the actual
environmental effects of the projects. Measuring programmes are
expensive, but have to be initiated in the case of major investment
projects. In future, it will be required that a “base line” study
is carried out during the inception phase, including an ex-ante
picture of emissions based on actual measurements. In connection with
the finalisation of the project, an ex-post picture of emissions will
likewise have to be drawn up – again based on actual measurements.
It is possible that these measurements should be made in a follow-up
phase if it is not possible to measure the effects immediately after
the conclusion of the project.
In addition to obtaining a better substantiation of the actual
environmental effects, it will be possible to measure a number of
derived effects at the same time. In waste water projects, these
derived effects include reductions in the load of heavy metals and
substances harmful to the environment, improved sludge processing,
working environment conditions and energy optimisation.
In the nature area, other indicators should be introduced.
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“To improve the network of country co-ordinators by
annual seminars and a more precise assignment of responsibilities”.
There is a need to strengthen co-operation with the local project
co-ordinators and in that way reap full benefit of their services in
relation to concrete projects. At the beginning of 1999, a seminar
will be held to bring together all the local co-ordinators in
Copenhagen in order to systematise the co-operation between the local
project co-ordinators and the employees at DEPA responsible for the
individual countries.
-
“To extend and improve informational activities on
the supported projects, for instance through DESF signposting at major
investment projects”.
It is important to improve the visibility of projects under the DESF
scheme. Experience so far shows that we get too little publicity on
the many good projects. Denmark is the largest bilateral donor in the
environmental area in Poland, Lithuania, Slovakia, Romania and
Ukraine, which ought to be known in the individual countries. In
future, it will be demanded in connection with major investment
projects that information about the project is publicised during the
establishment of the project, and that a sign is posted after its
completion that the project received support from Denmark.
Concerning the spreading of information about DESF, we have got off to
a good start in 1998. All the country programmes are described in an
English publication, and the Romanian publication was published
recently with a review in English as well as Romanian of all
Danish-supported environmental projects in the country. The
publication is also accessible on the Internet.
A number of other information initiatives, including a new information
strategy, are in the pipeline. Among other things, the strategy will
contain proposals for joint presentation material, logo, etc. for the
DESF Facility, Danced and MIKA North.
-
“To consider untying the assistance to Poland by
placing financial means directly in the Polish EcoFund in return for a
seat on the Board, as other countries have done”.
Other countries such as Finland, the USA, France and Switzerland –
and most recently Sweden – have transferred money directly to the
Polish EcoFund as part of the “debt-for-nature” SWAPs.
An earlier proposal to do the same was rejected by DEPA, the main
reason being that it will be more difficult to control the funds than
in the case of normal bilateral support. As a starting point, one
might say that it is a new type of support and that it is necessary to
perform a consequential analysis of what the proposal entails.
In 1999, DEPA will perform an analysis of advantages and disadvantages
of transferring funds to EcoFund.
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“To reconsider the need for assistance to the Czech
Republic and Hungary”.
Earlier, considerable environmental activities were carried out in
Hungary and the Czech Republic. The assistance granted to Hungary was
quite small in 1996, however, and no projects were implemented in 1997
or 1998. Hungary belongs to the more affluent countries which have
come a long way in their transition process from planned economy to
market economy, and the country has not been very interested in
cooperating under the DESF Facility. In the light of this, it must be
just a formality to declare assistance to Hungary discontinued, but to
retain the possibility of providing assistance in special cases to
individual projects.
With the Czech Republic, on the other hand, co-operation has been
quite substantial over the years, and the Czechs regularly apply for
assistance. However, activities in the Czech Republic ought to enter a
phase now with the focus over the next two years on EU approximation,
primarily in the form of legislation, etc and project preparation for
major EU funds. After that, activities in the Czech Republic should be
reconsidered.
Poland is at a similar level of development as Hungary and the Czech
Republic, but Poland is a firmly integrated part of the Danish Baltic
Sea Initiative. For this reason, the support for Poland cannot be
discontinued.
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“In Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Slovakia to improve
donor co-ordination in order to tie the Western assistance more
closely to suggestions or requirements for reforms of environmental
policy and its institutions”.
The international co-ordination ought to be tightened in relation to
Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, whereas Slovakia is already sending other
signals after the formation of the new government. The coordination
should be made primarily in the established fora, such as the informal
Nordic co-operation and the Project Preparation Committee (PPC), where
donors and international sources of financing co-operate.
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“To strengthen the co-ordination with other Danish
ministries and the recipients as well as with the wider economic and
political issues at stake in the region, by placing environmental
attachés (with environmental insight) at Danish embassies in Warsaw,
in Russia and in one of the Baltic states, if possible, at a
reasonable level of cost”.
DEPA agrees that appointing environmental attachés at the mentioned
embassies would be a strengthening, but such attachés would have to
be financed out of administration funds. Experience from Danced shows
that one person will cost about DKK 1.8 m a year, which it would be
unrealistic to draw from the limited administrative funds of 3.5% of
the framework. However, co-operation with the embassies will be
strengthened in future through a more systematic exchange of
information.
– feature article on the assessment of environmental
support for Eastern Europe by Mikael Skou Andersen, Associate Professor,
Aarhus University [3]
Increasingly, Denmark’s support for the transition in
Eastern Europe consists in environmental assistance. In 1998, the
environmental assistance came to approx. DKK 655 million, equivalent to
55% of the total Danish support for countries behind the former iron
curtain. Denmark is thus the Western donor country focusing most on
providing environmental assistance to Eastern Europe. The assistance is
provided both through DEPA’s environmental support scheme and under a
number of sectoral programmes in various ministries. In addition, there is
the Environmental Investment Facility under the Industrialisation Fund for
Eastern Europe and the Environmental Credit Scheme under the Export Credit
Scheme.
So what are the results of the environmental assistance?
The first complete and independent assessment of the assistance provided
by DEPA in Eastern Europe in the years 1991-96 is now available. The
assessment has brought the Danish environmental projects into focus and
rated the results. At the same time, the co-operation between the Danish
authorities and the environmental authorities in the Eastern European
countries has been assessed. This article will first give an overview of
the development and state of the Danish environmental policy in some of
the principal recipient countries and subsequently present an assessment
of the results of the Danish environmental assistance.
In the revolution year 1989, the protests against the
planned economies’ wearing down of natural resources and the effects
thereof on the citizens’ health were one of the most important themes in
the showdown with the old regimes. Immediately after the fall of the Wall,
new environmental ministries were therefore set up and new laws passed to
control pollution all over Eastern Europe. The economic transition process
to market economy has meant, however, that the populations in Eastern
Europe have got other problems to cope with. The attention paid to the
environment has been fading, but this has not made the problems any less
serious.
On the contrary: the environmental and energy problems are
an integrated part of the transition problems of Eastern Europe. There is
still a large waste of energy and materials in industry and a large
economic loss resulting from the worn down energy and water supply
systems. Insufficient waste and waste water treatment affect public health
in a negative way – e.g. when sewage water flows into the water supply
systems and spreads diseases and infections. Regional security problems
are aggravated because of the large energy consumption and the dependence
on imported energy, not least from Russia.
Among the political decision-makers in Eastern Europe
today, there is limited understanding of the need to link environmental
and economic modernisation. In several of the countries, especially in
Russia, environmental politics receives very low priority. But there are
also countries where the environmental policy pursued is more active than
it used to be, especially in Poland.
Western assistance to solve environmental and energy
problems continues to be modest, both in view of the need and compared to
the share financed by the Eastern Europeans themselves. Assistance is
provided first and foremost by the Nordic countries and by other
relatively small European countries like Holland, Austria and Switzerland.
Large countries such as the US and England provide consultancy only, but
no direct support for investments. The international financial
institutions, like the World Bank and the EBRD, work slowly and
elaborately and, relatively speaking, have granted limited credits for
environmental purposes. EU support programmes have considerable budgets
also for environmental purposes, but especially the TACIS programme does
not work fully professionally in the environmental area.
The Eastern Europeans therefore have to pay for and
finance the bulk of the environmental restoration themselves. In countries
like Poland, the Czech Republic and Russia, Western assistance accounts
for less than 5-7% of the total environmental investments. In the smaller
Baltic countries, the environmental assistance is a more decisive element,
however, as it amounts to between 35% and 50% of environmental
investments.
Countries like Poland and the Czech Republic must be
estimated as having an environmental modernisation capacity which is
relatively large for the region. This is the result of important decisions
that were taken in the years of revolution and which bind the decision
takers today. In Poland, it was decided in 1989 to establish independent
ecofunds at national as well as local levels, which by means of
environmental charges on pollution and consumption of resources were
enabled to raise the necessary capital for environmental protection. The
national fund Fundusz is independent of the ministry of the environment
and the finance ministry and has been responsible for well over half of
the environmental investments made during the 1990s. At the same time,
part of Poland’s foreign debt was converted to the independent EcoFund.
This has made considerable progress possible, in particular within waste
water treatment, which now approaches the level of Southern and Central
Europe. At the same time, the Polish Ministry of the Environment is
relatively strong with extensive competencies.
In the Czech Republic, the velvet revolution led to the
introduction of stringent laws, especially in the field of air pollution,
as suggested by the independent and influential Federal Environmental
Commission. An environmental fund was also established, but it was weaker
and had fewer funds available than the Polish EcoFund. With the “velvet
divorce” between the Czech Republic and Slovakia in 1993, the
Environmental Commission was dissolved, however, and the environmental
ambitions of the two republics soon decreased. The air pollution laws
remained in force, however, and by applying the “polluter-pays
principle” have led to very substantial investments in industry. The
result of this is that, today, the Czech Republic is the country in Europe
spending the largest proportion of its GDP on the environment. At 2.3%, it
is somewhat higher than Poland’s 1.8% and substantially higher than
Denmark’s 1.1%. Also in the waste water area the Czech Republic is well
underway. Under Vaclav Klaus, there was a shift towards more traditional
growth-oriented policies, with practically no new environmental
initiatives.
In Slovakia, Meciar’s regime led to what can best be
described as dismantling of environmental politics. The ministry of the
environment lost important areas of competence, environmental expenditure
on the Budget was reduced to a minimum, and environmental organisations
were persecuted. Where pollution declined, this was mainly the result of a
decline in production.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, the three Baltic
states were in a special situation. It was not until 1988 that Gorbatjov
set up a Committee for the Environment, and it had only weak regional
units in the Baltic republics. After the independence, these units were
supposed to take over the role of independent ministries. In the small
Estonian ministry of the environment, the staff of only 100 has elaborated
more than 37 new acts since 1991. The economic situation has been much
inferior to that of Poland and the Czech Republic, however, and the
Estonian EcoFund disposes of limited resources. Lithuania experienced the
most disastrous decline in GDP; from 1991 to 1996, GDP fell by 60% after
the links had been cut off to the Soviet planned economy. An independent
ministry of the environment was not set up until 1994, and there is no
environmental fund. The Baltic republics, however, received very
considerable environmental support from especially the Nordic countries.
While Finland was the most important donor country for Estonia, Denmark
developed co-operation with Lithuania in particular. Considerable progress
has been made, especially in the area of waste water treatment, (modern
plants are being constructed in most large towns), and funds have likewise
been provided to strengthen the administration itself. Even though the
Baltic countries share a number of problems, they are in a class different
from that of the other former Soviet Republics when it comes to
environmental politics.
The prospects for development are dismal in Russia, also
in the environmental field. The ministry of the environment established
under Gorbatjov was dismantled again in 1996 and replaced by a State
Committee devoid of influence and without representation in the
government. Competences concerning the use of raw materials and resources
were transferred back to the traditional production ministries. The small
environmental fund had to spend its scarce funds on paying salaries to the
employees of the State Committee. And, at the same time, the problems are
enormous. Millions of tonnes of poisonous waste are being deposited in
open lagoons. The drinking water supply is not bacteriologically safe for
more than half of the population. There are practically no political
reforms or initiatives in the Duma aimed at the vast energy and resource
wastage in Russian industry and in the energy sector. In Ukraine, the
situation is not much better. Cities of more than a million inhabitants
like Lviv and Sevastopol and others are supplied with water only three
hours in the morning and three hours in the evening, as the water supply
pipelines are perforated – and from the leaky sewers, waste water flows
into the drinking water pipeline system. The costs of cleaning up after
Tjernobyl still take up large sums, and the country continues to be fully
dependent on Russian gas and oil.
In Romania, there is a little more light at the end of the
tunnel, with political and environmental reforms having been limited until
recently. It is true that pollution here is more serious than in the other
former buffer states. But even if Romania is not among the first group of
countries to become members of the EU, the country attaches great
importance to living up to international conventions, especially in the
area of nature protection. So far, the country has received only modest
attention from international donors, but thanks to Danish initiatives, a
national environ- mental action plan has been drawn up, and the Romanian
ministry of the interior is fully aware of Danish competences within the
area of cleaner technology.
In conclusion, it can therefore be said that despite many
problems that remain to be solved, Poland and the Czech Republic have come
a long way and have spent internal resources to an impressive degree. In
an intermediate group, we find the Baltic countries, which have made some
progress, especially thanks to Nordic environmental assistance. Russia,
Ukraine, Romania and Slovakia make up the environmental rear guard, as the
problems here are still enormous and political reforms are relatively
limited.
The Danish environmental initiatives in the region should
be assessed against this background.
From 1991 to 1996, DKK 1.2 billion was spent on support
for 496 environmental projects in the Eastern European countries. The
support has been in the form of bilateral assistance, where applications
and projects have been formulated by Danish enterprises and institutions,
but subject to approval by the recipient countries.
During the first two years, the economic framework was
modest, but the support has gradually been increased. Political priority
has been given to the countries in the Baltic region. Well over 30% of the
funds have been spent on projects in Poland, which has been the main
recipient country, especially during the first years. Well over 26% have
been spent on Russia and Lithuania respectively, where initiatives gained
momentum from 1994. The principal activity areas have been waste water
treatment, sustainable energy projects and air pollution abatement. 37% of
the funds have been spent on projects related to waste water. Substantial
grants have also been made towards institutional strengthening of
environmental management and towards nature protection.
It is no easy task to provide effective environmental
assistance, especially not when it has to be provided on bilateral terms.
How do we ensure that Danish competences within environment and energy can
be matched by the needs and the priorities of the recipient countries? How
do we ensure that the assistance reaches the recipients without drowning
in bureaucracy and perhaps corruption? How do we adapt Danish technologies
to conditions in the recipient countries? Many of the same questions that
are raised in relation to traditional development aid may also be raised
in relation to environmental assistance.
Assessment of the environmental assistance to Eastern
Europe has therefore been quite extensive, and in addition to a main
report, there are now two part reports and eight country reports – a
total of more than 600 pages to shed light on the problems and results.
Danish project contractors have been interviewed and a representative
sample of 47 projects have been subject to in-depth assessment and
analysis. Authorities, stakeholders and independent experts have been
interviewed in eight recipient countries.
The assessment shows that after some uncertain steps
during the first two years, environmental assistance has now found a form
which, overall, has led to satisfactory results. When assessing the
selected projects according to a systematic method both in relation to
their own objectives and in relation to the general objectives of the
environmental support scheme, it turns out that four projects are rated
unsatisfactory, while eight projects are rated less satisfactory and 35
satisfactory or very satisfactory. What characterises the good projects in
particular is that the action has been taken to solve serious
environmental problems, that the goals have been achieved and that they
have a high demonstration value.
The problems experienced during 1991 and 1992 had to do
with the fact that at that time, assistance was mainly in the form of
consulting and relatively non-committal East-West exchanges of views and
experience. The political and administrative chaos immediately after the
upheavals made it difficult to identify concrete projects, and during this
period, too many resources were spent on mapping out and report writing.
In 1993, however, partly on Eastern European initiative, a
more investment-oriented strategy was initiated, where consulting was
combined with a transfer of Danish environmental equipment, often as part
of larger project packages with other financial sources (environmental
funds, municipalities, utilities) contributing as well. Two-thirds of the
funds were spent on investment projects, but consulting has continued to
be an essential element. Since 1993, the hardware share, ie the share of
the funds spent on environmental technology as such, has been well over
35%. The philosophy has been to ensure that the Eastern Europeans got the
right equipment through proper project preparation and to supply
consulting on the use of the equipment. In 1996, the tender model was
introduced for investment projects, eventhough the possibility of
submitting applications still exists.
In rounded figures, the more investment-oriented strategy
has had the effect that since 1993, support has been granted annually for
about 40 major environmental investment projects in Eastern Europe. These
projects include modernisation of treatment plants, rehabilitation of
water supply, establishment of geothermal plants, windmills, filters for
smoke removal, cleaner technology in industry, etc. Danish resources have
not been sufficient to cover all the project costs, and the Eastern
European countries have therefore co-financed a great part of the
activities – as a matter of fact, Danish grants come to only about
one-third of the project costs. Co-financing is highest in Poland and
lowest in Ukraine and Romania.
The extensive co-financing has led to an additional export
of Danish environmental technology. It is difficult to calculate the size
of exports precisely, but for the completed projects it amounts to DKK 400
m, and as many of the largest and most investment-intensive projects are
still being implemented and therefore are not included in the figure,
there is every indication that the final export effect will be
substantially greater.
Another aspect of the investment strategy is the efforts
to obtain loans from the international financial institutions such as the
World Bank and the EBRD. The lack of knowledge of project assessment and
financing in Eastern Europe has made it difficult to take up loans, but
the pilot projects under the Danish scheme have triggered the provision of
very substantial amounts of loans totalling DKK 6 Bn, which is several
times the Danish financing framework. Some of these loans go towards water
supply projects in St. Petersburg and in the Crimea, where the need far
exceeds what Danish funds can finance. Some of these loans are also
expected to lead to export of Danish equipment, but there are no strings
attached.
Consulting engineering firms in particular have played a
dominant role as project contractors under the DESF Facility. Part of the
explanation for this is the conditions you have to work under in Eastern
Europe and the relatively narrow Danish resource base in this context. A
total of 20 consulting engineering firms are responsible for two-thirds of
the activities under the scheme, which may cause misgivings. Suppliers of
equipment and machinery contribute via the advisors’ projects, however,
and thus benefit greatly from the scheme.
On the part of Eastern Europe, scepticism has been
expressed because of the high cost of using Danish consultants, and the
Eastern Europeans generally prefer more hardware and less consultation. It
is emphasised that Eastern Europe has a high level of education and
knowledge at its disposal, and that these countries are therefore
primarily interested in spending the funds allocated on advanced Danish
environmental equipment. But since it is the Danish enterprises that
formulate the projects, it cannot be ruled out that consulting engineers
have an interest in increasing the consulting share at the expense of the
equipment share. At the same time, the absence of fixed framework amounts
for activities in the individual countries or regions gives the recipients
an incentive to accept the projects suggested, even if the hardware share
is smaller than might have been wished for. Therefore, there is reason to
think about how the hardware share of the projects can be increased, and
the assessment recommends that in future, the hardware share accounts for
50% or more. This would also make it possible for more enterprises –
especially small Danish enterprises – to contribute under the scheme.
Compared to quite a few other donor countries that do not grant any
assistance to investments at all, but only to consulting, Denmark is
recognised in all countries as one of the few providing “real”
assistance. At the same time, Denmark has been the largest bilateral donor
in Poland, Lithuania, Slovakia, Romania and Ukraine.
The more investment-oriented policy pursued since 1993 has
also yielded significant environmental results, even if they are somewhat
more modest than originally estimated in the air pollution area. As part
of the assessment, the environmental effects of completed and ongoing
projects have been measured. As some of the largest and most ambitious
projects funded in 1995 and 1996 had not been finalised in mid-1998, a
substantial share of the environmental effects has to be indicated as
expected. The total results are expected to be, among other things, a
rehabilitated waste water treatment capacity of 2.3 m person equivalents,
a reduction of SO2-emissions equivalent
to one-quarter of Denmark’s own emissions and a CO2-reduction
equivalent to 0.8% of Denmark’s emission. The environmental effects are
distributed very unevenly over the projects, and by aiming more at
environmental effect per krone spent, it must be expected that more
significant reductions can be achieved under the scheme.
Do you get more environment for the money in Eastern
Europe? It depends on what you would otherwise have spent the money on.
For the approx. DKK 1.2 Bn granted in environmental assistance from 1991
to 1996, we could, for instance, have built about 50 km of motorway in
Denmark. But the interesting question is whether the pollution reduction
per krone is bigger in Eastern Europe than in Denmark – and how much
bigger. During the assessment, it has not been possible to answer that
question, for one reason because of the very diverse projects and their
composite financing base. But it is our impression from working on the
assessment that pollution reductions to be realised in Eastern Europe
exclusively by means of Western technology and Western consultants are not
necessarily much cheaper than if the projects had been implemented on
Danish ground. On the other hand, co-operating with the Eastern Europeans
and involving them in the projects makes it possible to take advantage of
the lower factor costs in the East.
The assistance provided to promote environment and health
in Eastern Europe should not be provided in the only expectation that it
is cheaper, but especially because it can catalyse a more active and
sustainable environment policy that can contribute to stabilising the
recipient countries’ economies. With the results already achieved in the
EU accession countries Poland and the Czech Republic, it will now be
possible to step down environmental assistance to the benefit of countries
where problems are still very serious – Russia in particular. In the
case of Russia, however, Denmark, together with the other bilateral donor
countries, will have to accompany the assistance by certain demands or
proposals for environmental reforms, in particular the setting up of
environmental funds and the introduction of user payment for waste water
and energy. From a Danish point of view, dissolving the Russian ministry
of the environment is not acceptable either.
The provision of environmental assistance has clear
security undertones, however, and should also be provided from a security
perspective. By helping the Eastern countries with know-how and expertise
within e.g. water, waste and energy, Denmark helps solve basic problems
relating to standards of living and economy, signalling that their
problems are not irrelevant to us.
Mikael Skou Andersen, Associate Professor, Ph.D.,
Department of Social Science, Aarhus University, Denmark.
“Denmark’s environmental assistance to Eastern Europe
1991-96: an assessment of project achievements, environmental policy
performance and the role of foreign assistance. In co-operation with PLS
Consult and KPMG. Copenhagen: Denmark’s Environmental Protection
Agency”.
Notes:
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Miljødanmark, December 1998, vol. 12,
no. 6
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