Environmental Project No. 1234 2008 Ozone-depleting substances and the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs and SF6Danish consumption and emissions, 2006Contents
APPENDICES Appendix 1. ODP values for ozone-depleting substances and GWP values for clean greenhouse gases Appendix 2. Consumption and emissions of ozone-depleting substances in Greenland Appendix 3. GWP contribution from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 1993-2020 Appendix 5. Assessment of Good Practice Guidance compliance in DK F-gas calculation 2006 1 Summary1.1 Ozone-depleting substancesODP-weighted consumption for 2006 based on reporting from importers has been calculated at 3.05 ODP tonnes. Compared to 2005 it is an increase of 1.29 ODP tonnes. The increase is caused by a larger consumption of HCFC-141b. The table below shows ODP-weighted consumption calculated on the basis of information on imports from importers and producers. The ODP factors for each substance are listed in Appendix 1, Table 1.a. Table 1.1 Overview of consumption and ODP-weighted consumption in 2003-2006, Tonnes Danish consumption of methyl bromide has only been used as feedstock for other chemical production. Therefore it is not included as an emission. HCFCs are used as refrigerants or for foam production (system foam). The areas of application of HCFCs in 2006 are shown in Table 1.2. Only regenerated HCFC-22 is used as a refrigerant in Denmark. Thus, there is a reexport of new HCFC-22 to other countries. According to compliance with the UN methodology, regenerated HCFC-22 is not included in calculation of the ODP weighted consumption. HCFC-141b is used in production of system foam Table 1.2 Danish consumption of HCFCs by application area in 2006, tonnes.
Statistics Denmark has registered an irregular import/export of CFC’s in 2006. The import/export are not confirmed from the importers. There are registered an exports of 1,8 tonnes of CFC-11 and an import of 1,7 tonnes and an export of 3,1 tonnes of CFC-12. Export of CFC-11 and CFC-12 are banned and therefore this registration has undergone an investigation to clarify whether the import were actual or coursed by data failure. Statistics Denmark have examined there data and concluded that there were no data failure. In the light of the conclusion, this case is handed over to DEPA’s Chemical Inspection. Before the use of CFC’s are determined by source, the emissions are not included in the calculation of ODP tonnes. Figure 1.1 The development of ODP-weighted consumption 1986-2006, tonnes. The specific figures for consumption of individual substances and groups of substances and the ODP contribution calculated for the period 2000-2006 and year 1992 is shown in Table 3.1 in Chapter 3. 1.2 F-gasesThe GWP-weighted actual emissions of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 in 2006 were 885,3 thousand tonnes CO2 equivalents. The corresponding emissions were 839,5 thousand tonnes CO2 equivalents in 2005, as reported in /13/. The emission has increased for all three substance groups; HFC’s, PFC’s and SF6. In particular HFC-404a emission from commercial refrigerants and HFC-134a emission from system foam production (export) and commercial refrigerants. Further the SF6 emission from plasma erosion and analysis purpose have increased. Finally a new sector for PFC/HFC emissions has been identified. The substances are used (in a smaller scale) in manufacturing of optical fibres. The HFC consumption in commercial refrigerants has increased with app. 80 tonnes in total compared to 2005. It also has an effect on the future emission trends, because the stock in commercial refrigeration has increased further. In Table 1.3 below, consumption, actual emissions and stock in products are summarised. Table 1.3 Consumption, actual emissions, stock, adjusted for imports/exports as well as GWP contribution from greenhouse gases 2006, tonnes.
In Figure 1.2 below, total GWP contributions from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 is shown in accordance to individual sources for emission in 2006. Figure 1.2 The relative distribution of GWP emissions, analysed by source The figure shows that emissions from refrigerants used in commercial stationary refrigerators account for the largest GWP contribution. These refrigerators cover 65,4 per cent of the total actual contribution in 2006. The contribution is primarily from HFCs, and a small part is from PFCs. The second-largest GWP contribution, accounting for 13,2 per cent, comes from ongoing releases of HFC-134a stock in insulating foam in fridges and freezers. Mobile A/C contribute with 9,8 per cent and only 2,3 per cent of the GWP contribution stems from HFC emissions released during the production of soft foam and from the use of HFC-based aerosol sprays. The three sources of SF6 emissions in 2006 were power switches, double glazing windows and laboratories/plasma erosien. These account for 4,1 per cent of the total GWP contribution. HFCs comprise app. 94 per cent of the overall GWP contribution in 2006, Emissions of SF6 comprise 4 per cent and emissions of PFC contribute with 2 per cent of the total emission. The relative distribution is shown in Figure 1.3 below. Figure 1.3 The relative distribution of the GWP contribution from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6, 2006. 1.2.1 HFCsIn 2006, the total import (minus re-export) of pure HFC’s and HFC blends were approx. 724,5 tonnes. Compared to 2005, where total consumption was approx. 559,4 tonnes, the import has increased with total 165,1 tonnes. The import of almost all HFC’s has increased, only import of HFC-417 and 413a are reduced. Actual emissions from HFC’s have been calculated to approx. 833,600 tonnes CO2 equivalents. In 2005, emissions were 803 900 tonnes CO2 equivalents. It is an increase of approx. 29 700 tonnes CO2 equivalents. The actual emission from HFC’s has exceeded to highest level since HFC’s has been introduced. 1.2.2 Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6)The consumption of sulphur hexafluoride was 4,23 tonnes in 2006, which is an increase of approx. 0,7 tonnes compared to 2005. Actual emissions have been calculated at 1.5 tonnes, equivalent to a GWP contribution of app. 36 000 tonnes CO2 equivalents. In 2005, emissions were 21 700 tonnes CO2 equivalents. This level of emission from SF6 is the highest level in last six years. 1.2.3 Per fluorinated hydrocarbons (PFCs)In 2006, the emission of PFC’s origins from production of fibre optics and emission from commercial refrigeration containing R413a. The total GWP-weighted PFC emission is 15 680 tonnes CO2 equivalents. The actual emission from stock containing R413a and consumption was 12 300 tonnes CO2 equivalents, which is a continuation of the reduction since 2002. The actual emission from PFC-14 and PFC-318 in production of fibre optics is app. 0,5 tonnes and the actual GWP-weighted emission is 3 380 tonnes CO2 equivalents. 1.2.4 Trends in total GWP contribution from F-gasesFigure 1.4 shows the trend in Danish GWP contributions 1992-2006 from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. The differences from the present calculations of the total GWP value compared with earlier calculation methods are illustrated in the figure. Figure 1.4 Trends in GWP-weighted potential, actual and adjusted actual emissions 1992-2006, 1 000 tonnes CO2 equivalents. The figure shows that the GWP emission also in 2006, has increased further and exceeded the highest level for calculation of actual emissions. The development in the GWP contribution 1992-2006 can also be seen in Table 1.4 below. Table 1.4 Total GWP-contribution from HFCs, PFCs, SF6, 1 000 tonnes CO2 equivalents, determined according to the four different methods of calculation applied during this period
2 Introduction
On behalf of the Danish Environmental Protection Agency (Danish EPA), the consulting firm PlanMiljø ApS carried out an evaluation of Danish consumption and emissions of ozone-depleting substances and the industrial greenhouse gases, or so-called F-gases, HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 for 2006. The evaluation was carried out in continuation of previous evaluations /13/ and references in these. The evaluation includes a calculation of actual emissions of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. In this calculation of actual emissions, the release from stock of greenhouse gases in products has been taken into account, and adjustments have been made for imports and exports of the greenhouse gases in products. Appendix 4 describes the specific emission factors, etc. The evaluation was partly prepared to enable Denmark to fulfil its international obligations to provide information within this area, and partly to follow the trend in consumption of ozone-depleting substances as well as the consumption and emissions of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. An example of reporting of Danish emissions is given in reference /18, 19, 21, 23/, and most recently, in reference /24/. The ozone-depleting substances regulated by the Montreal Protocol are depleting the earth’s protective ozone layer at a much greater rate than natural processes reproduce ozone. This is disturbing the natural balance and leading to an increase in dangerous ultraviolet radiation. The depletion is dependent on the different ozone-depleting potentials of the specific substances: their ODP values (Ozone-Depleting Potential). Greenhouse gases cause an increase in the ability of the atmosphere to retain surplus heat radiated from the earth. Consequently the temperature of the earth’s surface is rising and this leads to climate changes. There are several ozone-depleting substances that also have a strong greenhouse effect. The potential effect of different greenhouse gases varies from substance to substance. This potential is expressed by a GWP value (Global Warming Potential). The so-called F-gases that do not have an ozone-depleting effect, but which have high GWP values (HFCs, PFCs and SF6) are regulated by the Kyoto Protocol under the Climate Change Convention. The Danish EPA has published a booklet on the ozone layer and the greenhouse effect /5/, and in cooperation with the other Nordic countries, the Danish EPA has published a booklet on the protection of the ozone layer - Nordic Perspective /6/. The Danish EPA has also published a report on substituting the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs and SF6 /10/. 2.1 Monitoring GroupThe project was overseen by a monitoring group. The monitoring group reviewed the evaluation results. The monitoring group consisted of:
2.2 ObjectiveThe objective of this project was to map the 2006 consumption of newly produced industrial ozone-depleting substances and the consumption and actual emissions of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. The evaluation was made in accordance with the IPCC guidelines (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) /4/, and following the method employed in previous evaluations. In Appendix 1, Tables 1.a and 1.b show the ozone-depleting substances regulated by the Montreal Protocol, their chemical formulas and ODP values (Ozone-Depleting Potential), and the potent industrial greenhouse gases covered by the Kyoto Protocol under the Climate Change Convention, including their chemical formulas and GWP values (Global Warming Potential). 2.3 Scope and definitionOzone-depleting substances This evaluation covers the net consumption of ozone-depleting substances. The term “net consumption” is understood as the amount of imported goods in bulk or drums, less any re-export of substances as raw materials. Ozone-depleting substances contained in finished products which are imported and exported are not included in the evaluation. This delimitation is in full compliance with international guidelines. The evaluation does not account for the consumption of regenerated ozone-depleting substances or substances used as raw material in the production of other substances, such as tetra chloromethane, and which are not subsequently emitted to the atmosphere. The information on consumption has been gathered from importers, suppliers and enterprise end-users (usually purchasing departments), and Statistics Denmark. This method of data gathering means that the information gathered is about the quantities of substances traded. Purchase and sales figures are used as an expression of consumption. This approach is considered to be suitable and adequate for the present purpose, since experience from previous projects shows that a levelling out occurs with time and that the substances sold/purchased are consumed within a relatively small time horizon. None of the substances covered here are produced in Denmark. Furthermore, ozone-depleting substances are treated at chemical waste processing plants in Denmark. Treatment and destruction data was gathered for the evaluation, but in line with all previous evaluations it has not been accounted for in the consumption figures. F-gases The evaluation of the actual emissions of HFCs, PFCs and SF6 was carried out in continuation of previous evaluations, which have become increasingly more comprehensive and accurate in step with the development of internationally approved guidelines (IPCC Guidelines) and guidance (IPCC Good Practice Guidance) and the provision of increasingly detailed data. The evaluation of the actual emissions includes quantification and calculation of any imports and exports of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 in products, and it includes substances in stock. This is in accordance with the latest and most accurate method of calculation (Tier 2) among the options provided for in the IPCC Guidelines /4/. 2.4 MethodsConsumption and emissions The evaluation of the consumption and the calculation of emissions and stock were carried out on the basis of information from seven sources:
Information for the present evaluation was first gathered by means of a questionnaire survey. The responses to the questionnaires were supplemented where necessary with information gathered by telephone. The results of the project is primarily based on the information received from enterprise and importer respondents etc., as well as reports and statistics from KMO, etc. The information gathered from importers and suppliers was compared with information from consumer enterprises in order to monitor any discrepancies between purchase and sales information and application of the substances. In some cases, the use of individual substances was estimated on the basis of two sources, since the majority of the consuming enterprises were known. In cases where not all enterprise end-users had specified the application area for substances, the consumption of individual substances was estimated on the basis of the information provided by importers, suppliers, and any trade and industry-related associations, such as KMO. There may be inconsistencies between the information provided by suppliers and enterprise end-users. This is partly due to imports from other EU countries, changes in inventories of substances, or a lack of correlation between the quantities sold and the quantities consumed. It is also due in part to a certain amount of uncertainty in the method of calculation used by enterprises. However, sales and consumption information has been harmonised. The estimated average degree of uncertainty in the report's consumption figures (quantities sold and bought) is about 10-15 per cent, and slightly greater for data regarding application areas. The degree of uncertainty in the calculation of actual emissions is estimated at 20-25 per cent, depending on import/export information for the specific products. The evaluation was conducted using two different methods /4/:
The ozone-depleting substances are not included in the calculations of emissions of greenhouse gases, since ozone-depleting substances are regulated by the Montreal Protocol. When evaluating emissions of ozone-depleting substances, net consumption is considered equivalent to potential emissions. Thus: Potential emissions = imports + production - exports - destruction/treatment. The evaluation of greenhouse gas emissions is based on a calculation of actual emissions. Actual emissions are emissions in the relevant year, accounting for the time lapse between consumption and emissions. Actual emissions include Danish emissions from production, from products during their lifetimes, and from the disposal of products. Actual emissions for the specific areas of application are determined on the grounds of the following analyses: Tier 2 Top-down analysis In the Tier 2 Top-down analysis, emissions are determined on the basis of information on consumption in the various areas of application and calculated or estimated emissions in the area of application (emission factors). Tier 2 Bottom-up analysis. In the Bottom-up analysis, the estimated emissions for a specific application area are based on information from producers using substances in production and in products; information on imports and exports of products; information on the technological developments within the application areas; information on the average amount of greenhouse gases contained in products; and information on the lifetime of products and actual emissions during their use and disposal. Tier 2 bottom-up analyses were carried out within selected areas over a number of years. The analyses quantified the stock and, in some cases, Danish emission factors. Detailed analyses were carried out for commercial refrigerators, mobile A/C systems, fridges, freezers, and SF6 power switches. Analyses were evaluated in separate reports /2, 11, 16/. Bottom-up comprises:
Results from this analysis have been expanded in the present evaluation of actual emissions. As far as possible, the consumption and emissions of greenhouse gases have been evaluated individually, even though consumption of certain HFCs has been very limited. This was done to ensure transparency and consistency in time in the calculation of the sum of HFCs as their GWP value. However, it was necessary to operate with a category for "Other HFCs", as not all importers and suppliers have detailed records of sales of individual substances. Uncertainty varies from substance to substance. Uncertainty is greatest for HFC-134a due to its widespread application in products imported and exported. The greatest uncertainty in the analysis of substances by application areas is assessed to concern the breakdown of consumption of HFC-404a and HFC-134a between commercial stationary refrigerators and mobile A/C systems. This breakdown is significant for the short-term (about 5 years) emissions calculations, but will balance out in the long term. This is because the breakdown is only significant for the rate at which emissions are released. Appendix 4 shows an overview of all application areas included with descriptions of the bases of calculation. 2.5 Explanation of terminologyThe following terms and abbreviations are used throughout this report:
3 Ozone-depleting substancesAll known importers of ODSs responded to the questionnaire survey. The responses provide information on imports/exports, sales/purchases, and areas of application for relevant substances (including both mixed and pure substances). The information from importers was supplemented with statistical information from Statistics Denmark for 2006. Statistical data was used to cross-check imports/exports information from importers. The statistics do not distinguish between new and re-used substances, and thus imports could, in principle, consist of both new and re-used substances. The foreign trade statistics for 2006 assign the following ozone-depleting substances to the following separate positions:
The foreign trade statistics also include some substance group positions that can indicate trends in imports and exports of HCFCs (and HFCs and PFCs), but due to the broad definitions of the substance groups, it is not possible to utilise the position numbers in the evaluation since this relates to individual substances. 3.1 Imports and exportsThe following sections describe imports and sales of individual ozone-depleting substances. 3.1.1 CFCsOn the basis of information from importers, sales of new CFC-113 in 2006 was 0 tonnes. In 2005 the sales of new CFC-113 was 0,01 tonnes. Statistics Denmark registered imports of 0,026 tonnes of CFC-113, and 1,675 tonnes of CFC-12 in 2006. Import of CFC-12 is banned and therefore enterprises’ calculations are being re-examined. The case is handed over to DEPA’s chemical Inspection. 3.1.2 TetrachloromethaneIn 2006, information from companies on imports and sales of tetrachloromethane were 0 tonnes. In 2005, imports and sales were also 0 tonnes. Statistics Denmark registered imports of 0,033 tonnes in 2006. Because of the small amount, no re-examination of data will be carried out. 3.1.3 1,1,1-TrichloroethaneIn 2006 the information from companies on import of 1,1,1-Trichlorethane was 0 tonnes. In 2005 the import of 1,1,1-Trichlorethane were 0.01 tonnes. Statistics Denmark registered imports of 0.252 tonnes in 2006. Because of the small amount, no re-examination of data has been carried out. 3.1.4 HalonsThere was no import of halons in 2006. Consumption of new halon has been phased out for several years but halons still occur in fire fighting equipment in ships and aircrafts. The installed amount is not estimated. 3.1.5 Methyl bromideMethyl bromide was again in 2006 only imported for use in feedstock. 3.1.6 HCFCsSix enterprises imported HCFCs in 2006. Consumption of regenerated HCFC-22 has decreased but consumption of HCFC-141b has increased. There has been no consumption of HCFC-142b. In 2006, import and consumption of HCFC-22 (regenerated) were about 66 tonnes. In 2005 the consumption of regenerated HCFC-22 were 95,6 tonnes. Import and consumption of HCFC-141b were 27,7 tonnes in 2006. Import of HCFC-141b was 13.4 tonnes in 2005. There were no import of HCFC-142b in 2006 as well in 2005, and Danish consumption of this substance has been phased out. There has been an import and re-export of new HCFC-22 and HFC-blends which contain new HCFC-22 in 2006. Table 3.1 Developments in consumption and potential emissions from 1992 and 2000-2006, tonnes (ODP- weighted tonnes are shown in italics).
1) Information from the Danish EPA environmental statistics. Table 3.2 shows an overview of the Danish consumption of HCFCs by application area, based on information from importers and producers. Table 3.2 Danish HCFC consumption 2006, based on information from importers and producers, tonnes.
3.1.7 DisposalDenmark has two treatment facilities for destruction of ODSs - Kommune Kemi and Uniscrap A/S. All ODSs to be disposed are sent to these plants. Kommune Kemi (KK) does not operate a registration system for individual substances because it receives and treats all substances in mixed tanks. Consequently, it is not possible to quantify the amounts of substances collected for treatment based on what the plant receives. Therefore, information from the importers that receive and send on used ODSs for treatment at the KK plant has been used instead. Treatment of substances at KK does not lead to emissions of ODS. Uniscrap A/S register the specific annual quantities of individual substances disposed at the facility. The ODSs disposed in 2006 are shown in the table below. Table 3.3 Disposed ODSs in 2006, tonnes.
Some of the HCFC-22 originates from disposed HFC blends (HFC-401a, HFC-402a, HFC-408a, HFC-409a). 4 Greenhouse gases4.1 Import of substancesAn overall picture of the trends in imports of greenhouse gases is given in Table 4.1, based on information from importers for the years 1987, 1989, 1992, 1994-2006. 4.1.1 HFCsHFCs were imported by fourteen enterprises in 2006. Five of these are end-users, which import directly from other EU countries. In 2006, the total import (minus re-export) of pure HFCs and HFC blends were approx. 724,5 tonnes. Compared to 2005, where total consumption was approx. 559,4 tonnes, the import has increased with total 165,1 tonnes. The import of almost all HFC’s has increased, only import of HFC-417 and 413a are reduced. The 2006 import of HFC-134a is increased to 280,7 tonnes compared to 2005, where the import was 235,4 tonnes. Further more is 0,45 tonnes HFC 134a imported in the blend refrigerant R417 blend (50% HFC-134a). The total increase is coursed by higher consumption from commercial refrigeration system. Contrary the use of HFC-134a in soft foam and aerosol sprays has been reduced to less than half. Import of HFC-404a increased from 162,4 tonnes in 2005 to 176,4 tonnes in 2006. The increase is, as for HFC-134a, coursed by higher consumption from commercial refrigeration system. Imports of HFC-407c were increased from 61,6 tonnes in 2005 to 70.6 tonnes in 2006. HFC-407c is a substitute refrigerant for HCFC-22 in refrigerators. Over the last decade there has been an increase in import of HFC-407c. 2005 was the first year where the import was reduced. In 2006 the increase seems to continue the last decade’s tendency. In total has the consumption of HFC-134a, HFC-404a and HFC-407 in commercial refrigeration system increased with more than 80 tonnes from 2005 to 2006. It indicates that activities with installation of new HFC-refrigeration systems in the sector have been extensive up to 1.1. 2007 where a ban against installation of new HFC systems are brought into force. Imports of HFC-507a have increased to 6.1 tonnes in 2006. In 2005, the import was 5.4 tonnes. The import of HFC-410a was 7,7 tonnes and the import of other HFC refrigerants and blends were 5,6. There were no imports of R413a in 2006. The import of HFC-152a was 11,6 tonnes in 2006. This is a doubling of the import from 2005. There were no Danish consumption of HFC-401a and HFC-402a in 2006 but one importer registered a minor re-export. 4.1.2 Sulphur hexafluorideSix importers reported having imported and sold 4.23 tonnes of sulphur hexafluoride in 2006. Sulphur hexafluoride was mainly used in power switches, but smaller amounts are used as an agent for plasma erosion in production of micro chips and in laboratories for analysis purposes. 4.1.3 Per fluorinated hydrocarbonsThere has been an import of PFC-14 (CF4) and PFC-318 (c-C4F8) of approx. 0,5 tonnes in 2006. The PFC’s are used in production of optical fibres. This is considered as a new consumption area in Denmark. There has been no import of per fluoro compound C3F8,, which was contained in the blend refrigerant R413 used in commercial refrigerators. Table 4.1 Developments in imports of greenhouse gases, tonnes. 4.2 Consumption by sectorsThe evaluation of consumption divided into sectors is estimated on the basis of information from importers and producers, and on sales reports to the Danish Refrigeration Installers' Environmental Scheme (KMO). Table 4.2 shows consumption distributed according to sectors. Table 4.2 Consumption of HFC distributed on sectors in 2006, tonnes. There are no other known sectors using HFCs in Denmark than those appearing in Table 4.2. 4.2.1 Consumption of HFC refrigerantIn recent years, the Danish consumption of HFC refrigerants points toward increased use of HFCs in commercial refrigeration and 2006 is no exception. In 2005 the import decreased for the first time, but 2006 show an increasing trend again. This is expected to stop in 2007 because the consumption of HFC refrigerants only will be to refilling of existing installations. The general increase in HFC refrigerants in commercial systems is a natural consequence of the phase-out of air conditioners based on R-22 (HCFC). More over, commercial refrigeration with R-12 and R-502 were replaced by R-22 systems after 1995 when CFCs were banned in Denmark. This added to the percentage of refrigeration systems with R-22. The production of new R-22 systems was prohibited in 2000 and substitution with R-22 in existing systems was prohibited in 2002. The use of HFC’s as refrigerant in commercial refrigeration and A/C systems is covering approx. 74 per cent of the total consumption in 2006. The most commonly used refrigerant in commercial refrigeration is still HFC-404a and HFC-134a. Approx. 26 per cent of the HFC consumption is used in foam blowing and for other purposes than refrigeration. The consumption of HFC-134a as a refrigerant in fridges/freezers was again reduced in 2006 with approx. 2,5 tonnes. The decrease is not considered as an indication of a general reduction in the production in the Danish refrigeration sector but an indication of that the sector has substituted to alternative refrigerants. The consumption of refrigerants in vans and lorries have decreased slightly and is considered as a normal year to year movement. The consumption of refrigerants for mobile A/C systems have again increased this year. Consumption by application area is based on information from producers and importers and on data from KMO, which receives reports of the sales of substances from refrigerator installers and automobile garages, etc. (only when drawing-off is more than 1 kg). The consumption of refrigerants for household fridges and freezers is calculated on the basis of information from enterprise end-users. The consumption figures for refrigerants in commercial and stationary A/C systems, and mobile A/C systems and refrigerators are estimated using data from KMO and information from importers as well as statistics on car imports. Table 4.3 shows the relative consumption by weight of refrigerants according to application area. Table 4.3 Consumption of refrigerants, divided on refrigeration units, 2006, tonnes.
4.2.2 Consumption of HFC as foam blowing agent and as propellantIn 2006, the consumption of HFC’s in system foam and in other PUR foam and system foam has increased further. It is considered that the trend in the recent years is a general reduction of the HFC consumption as a blowing agent and this is the direct consequence of a statutory order on phase-out of potent industrial greenhouse gases, as well as the fact that there are competitive alternative technologies available on the market. Thus, there is an increase in the recent years in production of system foam for export. This is in line with the statutory order, where it is stated that products produced for export has an exemption. In 2006, the uses of HFCs as propellants in aerosols for specific purposes were about 12 tonnes. This estimate is based on DEPA’s grant of exemptions and production. The consumption seems to be stable tending to a decrease. As in previous years, there have been no reports of consumption of HFCs for chemical production, fire extinguishing equipment, or other application areas apart from those mentioned. 4.2.3 Consumption of SF6The overall consumption of SF6 in 2006 was app. 4.23 tonnes. Consumption of SF6 was used for power switches in high-voltage power systems and laboratories. Table 4.4 Consumption of SF6 by application area, tonnes
4.2.4 Consumption of PFCsThe consumption of PFC’s (per fluoropropane) in 2006 was 0,45 tonnes. This year none of the consumption is related to the blend refrigerant Isceon 49 and the trend from recent years indicates it is close to phase out. The consumption of PFC’s in blends for refrigeration purposes were amounted to about 0.45 tonnes in 2005. The PFC consumption in 2006 derives from a new area – optics fibre production. This area has used PFC-14 (0,25 tonnes) and PFC-318 (0,2 tonnes) for technical purpose in optics fibre production. 4.3 Emissions of F-gases: HFCs, PFCs and SF6This section reports the actual emissions of the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 for 2006. All emissions are calculated as actual emissions according to IPCC’s tier 2 methodology. The calculation is based on the reports on consumption of these substances analysed by application areas (section 4.2). For relevant product groups, adjustments have been made for imports and exports of the substances in products (see also chapter two for principal description of methodology). The specific emission calculation refers to appendix 4 which shows the particular emission factors, calculation method and assumptions, determination of IPPC Tier method etc., in relation to calculation of emissions from individual substance and application areas /4, 16/. 4.3.1 Actual emissions of F-gasesThe GWP-weighted actual emissions of HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 in 2006 is calculated to 885,3 thousand tonnes CO2 equivalents. The corresponding emissions were approx. 839,5 thousand tonnes CO2 equivalents in 2005, which corresponds to a calculated total increase of approx. 45,8 thousand tonnes CO2 equivalents. The total GWP contribution divided between HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 is shown in the table below. Table 4.5 GWP contribution by substance group, tonnes
The HFC emission from commercial refrigerators, especially from the main refrigerant HFC-134a, HFC-404a and HFC-407c were again higher in 2006 as compared to 2005, first of all because of increased emission from stock but also partly because of an increased consumption. Furthermore the emission from production of system foam for export purposes has significantly increased in 2006 compared to 2005. The only source where the emission have been reduced is from soft foam and aerosol sprays etc. The reduction is approx. 30 percent compared to 2005. 4.3.2 Emissions of HFCs from refrigerantsAs required in the IPCC guidance for calculation of emission of f-gases a distinction is made between:
Actual emissions from these sources occur in connection with: - filling of refrigerants (0.5 percent to 2 per cent of consumption depending on application area). - continual release during the operational lifetime. An assumed average value which also accounts for release occurring as a result of accident and damage (10 percent to 33 percent of consumption per year, depending on application area). Release resulting from disposal does not count as emissions in Denmark since Danish legislation ensures that management and treatment of refrigerants prevent such emissions. Anyhow disposal is defined as an activity where zero emission occurs and this principal statement are used in order to reduce stock (the quantity of substances contained in a product after end life time). Appendix 4 shows the specific emission factors used in the calculations. Commercial refrigeration and stationary A/C systems Commercial refrigeration, used e.g. in retail, supermarket, restaurants etc. or in industry, and stationary A/C systems, also used by retailers and industry, as well in offices, constitute the largest source of emissions. The most commonly used refrigerants in this product group are HFC-134a, HFC-404a and HFC-407c. In addition, use of the refrigerants HFC-408a, HFC-409a, HFC-410a, and HFC-507c is less common, and HFC-401a and HFC-402a are phased out in Denmark. It is not relevant to adjust for imports and exports of HFCs in stationary commercial refrigeration and A/C systems since filling of refrigerants only will take place on site when the unit are installed. Table 4.6 shows actual emissions of specific HFCs. Total emissions of all HFCs have been converted to CO2 equivalents in order to take into account the different GWP values of the substances. Table 4.6 Actual emissions and GWP contribution from commercial refrigeration 2006, 2010, 2015 and 2020, tonnes As the figure indicate the emissions from commercial refrigeration will continue in several years even there are no installation of new HFC refrigeration systems because of the statutory order which not allow construction of new installations after 1. January 2007. In the trend analysis, the total emission from this sector is estimated to more than 320,000 tonnes CO2 equivalents in year 2015. But after then a significant reduction is expected and in year 2020 most HFC refrigeration systems is considered phased out. Refrigerators/freezers Actual emissions from refrigerants in refrigerators and freezers are determined on the basis of consumption adjusted for imports and exports of HFCs. The calculation assumes that the refrigerant is removed and treated upon disposal so that no emission occurs (see appendix 4). When adjusting for imports and exports, the estimates of imports/exports in Environmental Project no. 523 are used /2/. In this case, exports are assumed to comprise 50 percent of the consumption pr. year. The calculation is made on the basis of Statistics Denmark's foreign trade statistics /3/ of average figures of the amount of HFC-134a in a standard fridge/freezer manufactured in 1999. This figure has not been updated Table 4.7 below shows actual emissions from refrigerators/freezers in 2006 and 2010. Table 4.7 Emissions of refrigerants from refrigerators/freezers 2006 and 2010, tonnes
Total emissions of HFC-134a and HFC-404a refrigerants from refrigerators/freezers in 2006 were approx. 12 300 tonnes CO2 equivalents. In the future scenario of actual emissions, it is estimated that the total emission in 2010 is 13 100 tonnes CO2 equivalents coursed by an increasing stock. Mobile A/C Emissions from mobile A/C systems are mainly due to leakage and accident damage. The calculation has been adjusted for imports and re-exports of HFC-134a, which is the only HFC imported in A/C systems in cars, vans and trucks. In Denmark, the consumption of HFC-134a for mobile A/C systems is used solely for refilling. Initial filling is carried out by car manufacturers in the country of production. The assumptions used in the calculation of consumption and stock in mobile A/C systems appear from the table below. The assumptions have been adjusted according to individual statistical categories for types of transport and they represent estimated values based on information from car importers and refrigerator service enterprises /16/. Table 4.8 Assumptions used in the calculation of stock in mobile A/C systems, 2006
The results are shown in the table below. Table 4.9 Determination of amounts of HFC-134a involved in mobile A/C systems in 2006
The total stock of HFC-134a in mobile A/C systems in Denmark in 2006 was calculated to be about 223,6 tonnes, which are a further increase compared to 2005 stock.. In 2006, the volume of HFC-134a filled onto mobile air conditioning systems was 34,4 tonnes. This volume of refrigerants was used solely for refilling in connection with the maintenance of existing systems /16/. It is indicated from suppliers of mobile A/C refrigerants, that the consumption is even higher than this estimated. One supplier assumes the consumption to be approx. 40 tonnes of HFC-134a per year. The table below shows a projection of calculated actual emissions from mobile A/C systems in Denmark. Table 4.10 The calculated actual emissions of HFC-134a from mobile A/C systems in 2006, 2010 and 2015, tonnes
Refrigerated vans and lorries There are an estimated 5 500-6 000 refrigerated vans and lorries in Denmark /16/. These require an average filling of about 8 kg, equivalent to 46-49 tonnes refrigerants, either HFC-134a, HFC-404a or HCFC-22. Actual emissions from refrigerated vans and lorries in 2006 are stated in the table below. Table 4.11 The calculated actual emissions of HFC-134a and HFC-404a from refrigerated vans and lorries in 2006 and 2010, tonnes.
There have been no consumption of HFC-402a for refrigerated vans and lorries since the substance has been banned. But the emission from stock is still about 0.3 tonnes HFC-402a, corresponding to 400 tonnes CO2 equivalents. Thus, the total actual emissions from refrigerated vans and lorries were app. 21 430 tonnes CO2 equivalents in 2006 which is a slight increase compared to 2005 where emissions were 20,890 tonnes CO2 equivalents. 4.3.3 Emissions of HFCs from foam plastic products and propellantsTree calculation principles have been applied in the calculation of emissions of HFCs used in foam plastic products, depending on the type of product:
The calculation principles are summerized in table 4.12 below Table 4.12 Emission factors in the calculation of emissions from foam plastic products
Insulation foam There has been no hard foam plastic produced with HFC-134a as blowing agent in 2007. The import of HFC-134a in products with insulation foam, e.g. household fredges and freezers, are considered to 0 in 2007. This is difficult to verify and no applicable method seems available. The actual emissions are therefore solely from existing stock of household fredges and freezers. Actual emissions of HFC-134a from insulating foam are summarised in Table 4.13 Table 4.13 Emissions of HFCs from insulating foam, tonnes
In the projections for 2010 and 2015, it is estimated that the stock will be reduced significantly in 2015 as a result of the phase-out of HFC-134a as blowing agent and from 2018 it is estimated that there will be no more actual emissions from this source. Foam blowing of Polyether based shoe soles The consumption of HFC-134a used in polyether-based foam blowing in DK production of shoe soles has been 0 since 2005. Because of the regulation, general awareness among Danish importers/retailers and the general trend with substituting HFC-134a with alternative blowing agents, it is considered that the Danish import of polyether based products, e.g. shoe soles etc. are 0 from year 2007. Soft foam/aerosol sprays. Emissions from soft foam (open cell foam) account for 100 per cent of the consumption in the year of application /4/. Emissions from soft foam occur during production and it is therefore not relevant to adjust for imports/exports. The emission of HFC in the production of soft foam is identical to the consumption in Denmark, and the emission of HFC as a propellant in aerosol sprays is also equal to the consumption of HFC-based aerosol sprays in Denmark, after calculation of imports and exports. Total emissions from these two areas amount to 12,5 tonnes of HFC-134a and 11.6 tonnes of HFC-152a, corresponding to 20 000 tonnes CO2 equivalents. Compared with 2005, emissions have been decreased by approx. 9 300 tonnes of CO2 equivalents because of a significant reduction in use of HFC-134a in soft foam blowing but also a reduction in emissions from aerosols. Medical products The emissions from medical products are marginal and have not been calculated. Optical fibre production Optical fibre production constitute a new sector for F-gas emissions. Both HFC and PFC’ are used for technical purpose in Danish optics fibre production. HFC-23 is used as a protection and cleaning gas in the production process. The emission factor is therefore determined as 100 per cent release during production. The actual emission from HFC-23 is 930 tonnes CO2 equivalents in 2006 and it is assumed that this sector will increase during the coming years. 4.3.4 Emissions of sulphur hexafluorideThe total emissions of SF6 in 2006 have been calculated to 1.5 tonnes, equivalent to a GWP contribution of about 35 990 tonnes CO2 equivalents. Net consumption was 4.2 tonnes. Emissions derive from three sources - power switches, double-glazed windows and laboratories. Double-glazed windows Use of SF6 in double-glazed windows was phased out in 2002, however, there are still emissions from stock in existing double-glazed windows in Danish buildings. The stock is estimated from consumption data from Danish producers of double-glazed windows 1992-2002 and life time for double-glazed windows are determined to 20 years. Emission from double glazed windows are calculated on following factors:
Table 4.14 Emissions of SF6 from double-glazed windows, tonnes
Emissions will rise due to the disposal of existing double-glazed windows containing SF6 and the estimated 2015 GWP contribution from double-glazed windows is increased to approx. 94 500 tonnes CO2 equivalents. Power switches in high-voltage transmission stations Power switches are filled or refilled with SF6, either during new installation or during service and repair. Filling is usually carried out on new installations and a smaller proportion of the consumption is due to refilling /11/. Emissions from power switches in high-voltage transmission systems are released due to the following:
No emissions are assumed to result from disposal since the used SF6 is drawn off from the power switches and is either re-used internally by the company concerned, or re-used externally through means of a collection scheme. Emissions resulting from external re-use are determined on the assumption that 0.5 per cent of the annual stock is sent for external re-use. Table 4.15 shows the calculated actual emissions from SF6 power switches. Table 4.15 Emissions of SF6 from power switches in high-voltage plants 2006, 2010, and 2015, tonnes.
At the request of the Danish Energy Authority, Eltra and Elkraft System have carried out a survey of SF6 emissions during operation and following from accidents in 2003 /20/. This survey covers about 1/9 of the stock in the Danish electricity sector. The survey calculated the emissions at about 20 kg of SF6. Additionally, there were 88 kg of contaminated SF6 in depot, and about 1.1 tonnes of new gas in store (2003). If this data is assumed to be representative of the entire country, emissions in 2003 amount to about 180 kg. This is under half of the calculated emissions of 0.5 tonnes in this emission calculation of 2006. On the basis of Eltra's survey, the applied evaluation method is still considered to provide a true picture of total emissions. The difference in figures is explained by the fact that the calculation method does not take account of the time delay, so that SF6 is assumed to be both purchased and consumed within the year of calculation. Laboratory purposes Consumption of SF6 in laboratories covers two purposes:
Consumption was 0.6 tonnes in 2006 and it was primary for plasma erosion purpose. The emission was app. 13 900 tonnes CO2 equivalents. Training shoes In the period 1990 to 1998, Denmark imported training shoes, which, according to the manufacturer, contained SF6. It is assessed that emissions of SF6 from training shoes will not occur after 2003, while it is assumed that all shoes containing SF6 is disposed by then. 4.3.5 Emissions of per fluorinated hydrocarbonsIn 2006, the consumption of refrigerant R413a which contain per fluorinated hydrocarbons, was 0 tonnes. The actual GWP-weighted emission from this source is 12 300 tonnes CO2 equivalents, which is a further reduction compared to the last four years. This emission is released from refrigerants in commercial stationary and mobile refrigerators. Stock in commercial refrigerators has been estimated at about 15 tonnes in 2006. While refrigerants containing PFC are only used in stationary refrigerators, no estimates for imports and exports are relevant. Table 4.16 Emissions of PFCs from commercial refrigerators in 2006, 2010 and 2015, tonnes
Optical fibre production The PFC consumption in 2006 derives from a new area – optics fibre production. This area has used PFC-14 (0,25 tonnes) and PFC-318 (0,2 tonnes) for technical purpose in optics fibre production. The PFC’s are used as a protection and cleaning gas in the production process. The emission factor is therefore determined as 100 per cent release during production. The actual emission from PFC-14 and PFC-318 is 3 380 tonnes CO2 equivalents in 2006 and it is assumed that this sector will increase during the coming years. 5 List of references/1/ Arbejdsrapport nr. 20. Forbrug og emissioner af 8 fluorerede og klorerede kulbrinter (working report no. 20 on consumption and emissions of 8 fluorinated and chlorinated hydrocarbons - only available in Danish), Danish EPA, 1996. /2/ Miljøprojekt nr. 523. Ozonlagsnedbrydende stoffer og visse drivhusgasser - 1998 (environmental project no. 523 on ozone-depleting substances and certain greenhouse gases - 1998 - only available in Danish), Danish EPA, 2000. /3/ Udenrigshandelen fordelt på varer og land. Januar-december 1989, 1990-1999 (foreign trade analysed by goods and countries. January-December 1989, 1990-1999 - only available in Danish), Statistics Denmark 1989, 1990-1999. /4/ Reference Manual and Workbook of the IPCC 1996 Revised Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, IPCC Switzerland, September 1996. /5/ Ozonlaget og drivhuseffekten (the ozone layer and the greenhouse effect - only available in Danish), Danish EPA, April 1996. /6/ Beskyttelse af ozonlaget - nordisk perspektiv (protecting the ozone layer - a Nordic perspective - not available in English), The Nordic Council of Ministers, October, 1997. /7/ DEFU Komiterapport 94. Håndtering af SF6 og dets reaktionsprodukter i elforsyningsanlæg (committee report no. 94 from DEFU (Research Institute for Danish Electric Utilities) about management of SF6 and its reaction products in electricity supply plants). /8/ Methods used to Estimate Emission Inventories of Hydrofluorocarbons, Perfluorocarbons and Sulphur Hexafluoride. Draft report prepared for the UNFCCC secretariat. March Consulting, May 1999. /9/ Hvor kommer luftforureningen fra? - fakta om kilder, stoffer og udvikling (where does air pollution come from? - facts about sources, substances and development - only available in Danish). Thematic report from NERI, 29/1999. /10/ Substitutes for Potent Greenhouse Gases - 1998 Final Report (HFCs, PFCs and SF6), Per Henrik Pedersen, Danish EPA 1998. /11/ Indsamling og genanvendelse af SF 6 fra højspændingsanlæg (collection and reuse of SF6 from high-voltage plants - only available in Danish). Tomas Sander Poulsen et al., Danish EPA 2000. /12/ Denmark’s National Inventory Report - Submitted under the UN Convention on Climate Change. Illerup, J.B., Lyck, E., Winther, M. Rasmussen, E. NERI, 2000. Research Notes No. 127 (http://arbejdsrapporter.dmu.dk). /13/ Environmental Project No. 1168 2007: Ozone depleting substances and the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs and SF6 - 2005, Danish EPA, 2007. /14/ Denmark’s National Inventory Report. Submitted under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change 1990-1999. Emissions Inventories. Department of Policy Analysis. Illerup, Lyck, Winther, 2002. 675 pp Research Notes from NERI 149. (http://www.dmu.dk/1_viden/2_publikationer/ /15/ Annual Danish Atmospheric Emissions Inventory. 1999. Illerup, Andersen, Winther, Lyck, Bruun. NERI, Denmark. /16/ Revurdering af emissionsfaktorer for kommercielle køleanlæg og mobile A/C og køleanlæg (re-evaluation of emissions from commercial refrigerators, mobile A/C systems and refrigerators - only available in Danish). Poulsen, T.S, COWI; Environmental report no. 766, Danish EPA, 2002. /17/ D.A.F prepares statistics of registered vehicles, analysed into various categories of vehicle. These statistics are updated annually and used to calculate Danish filling of HFC-134a in vehicles. /18/ Denmark's National Inventory Report. Submitted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 1990-2001. Emissions Inventories. Department of Policy Analyses. Illerup, Lyck, Nielsen, Winter, Mikkelsen, 2003. Research Notes from NERI no. 181. http://www.dmu.dk/1_viden/2_Publikationer/ /19/ Denmark’s National Inventory Report. Submitted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 1990-2002. Emissions Inventories. National Environmental Research Institute, Denmark. Illerup, Lyck, Nielsen, Winter, Mikkelsen, Hoffmann, Sørensen, Vesterdahl, Fauser. 2004. Research Notes from NERI no. 196. /20/ Anvendelse og håndtering af SF6-gas i højspændingsanlæg over 100kV (use and management of SF6 in 100kV or more high-voltage plant). ELTRA Memo elt2004-47a of 18 March 2004. /21/ Denmark's National Inventory Report 2005. Submitted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. 1990-2003. Danmarks Miljøundersøgelser. Illerup, J.B., Lyck, E., Nielsen, M., Winther, M., Mikkelsen, M.H., Hoffmann, L., Sørensen, P.B., Fauser, P., Thomsen, M., & Vesterdal, L. (2005): - Research Notes from NERI 211: 416 pp. (electronic). /22/ Good Practice Guidance. IPCC Switzerland, 2000. /23/ Denmark's National Inventory Report 2006. Submitted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. 1990-2004. Danmarks Miljøundersøgelser. Illerup, J.B., Lyck, E., Nielsen, M., Winther, M., Mikkelsen, M.H., Hoffmann, L., Sørensen, P.B., Fauser, P., Thomsen, M., & Vesterdal, L. (2005): - Research Notes from NERI 211: 416 pp. (electronic). http://www2.dmu.dk/1_viden/2_Publikationer/ /24/ Denmark's National Inventory Report 2007. Submitted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. 1990-2005. National Environmental Research Institute, University of Aarhus. Illerup, J.B., Lyck, E., Nielsen, O.K., Mikkelsen, M.H., Hoffmann, L., Gyldenkærne, S., Nielsen, M., Winther, M., Fauser, P., Thomsen, M., Sørensen, P.B. & Vesterdal, L. (2007): - NERI Technical Report 632: 642 pp. (electronic). http://www2.dmu.dk/Pub/FR632_Final.pdf Appendix 1 ODP values for ozone-depleting substances and GWP values for F-gasesTable 1.a Ozone-depleting substances, their chemical formulas and Ozone Depleting Potential (ODP) - Regulated by t he Montreal Protocol.
Table 1.b F-gases, their chemical formulas and GWP values stipulated in the Kyoto Protocol
(1) Mixture consisting of 52 % HFC-143a, 44 % HFC-125 and 4 % HFC-134a. Appendix 2 Consumption and emissions of ozone-depleting substances in GreenlandStatistics Denmark registers both imports to Greenland and exports from Denmark to Greenland. The trends in supply of ODSs (only substances with position numbers in Statistics Denmark's foreign trade information) 1990-2006 are shown in Table 1. Table 1. Trends in supply to Greenland based on data from Statistics Denmark, tonnes Based on the statistics available it was not possible to determine the export of substances other than those shown in the table. In 2006, Greenland imported 1.8 tonnes CFC-11 from Denmark (Statistics Denmark). The import of HCFC-22 in Greenland is not possible to determine from Statistic Denmark data. But data from Danish suppliers shows that the export of new HCFC-22 for refrigeration purpose was 4.1 tonnes in 2006. No reports of import/exports of 1,1,1-trichloroethane were recorded in 2006. From the above data, ODP-weighted consumption in Greenland for 2006 was 2.02 ODP tonnes. This is a decrease compared to 2005, where the ODP weighted consumption was 14.4 tonnes ODP tonnes. Greenlands ODP weigthed emission is app. 1 ODP tonnes lower than the total Danish 2006 emission. Appendix 3 GWP contribution from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6, 1993-2020.The table below shows projections of determined GWP contributions. The emission projections are determined by starting with a ‘steady state’ consumption using 2006 as the reference year and the cut-off dates for the phasing-out of specific substances, cf. the Statutory Order regulating certain industrial greenhouse gases. The calculated GWP contribution expresses actual emissions, adjusted for imports and exports (the latest basis of calculation). Table 1. GWP contribution from HFCs, PFCs, and SF6 in 1000 tonnes, 1993-2020
Appendix 4 Specification of methods and assumptions for determination of emissions for 1990-2006 as well as projections of GWP in accordance with IPCC Good Practise Guidance and Uncertainty Management in National Greenhouse Gas InventoryClick here to see Appendix 4 table Appendix 5 Assessment of Good Practice Guidance compliance in DK F-gas calculation 2006The Danish F-gas emissions are calculated for the historical years up to 2006. The time series of emissions are calculated using Good practice principles and the series goes back to 1993, but are to be considered complete from the year 1995. Key Source Categories F-gases are determined as a key source category. The contribution of F-gases to national greenhouse gas emission is approx. 1% of total emission in the most recent historical years of the inventories. Future trend scenarios A trend scenario is elaborated until 2020. The scenario is bases on a “steady state” trend but with an inclusion of dates for out phase of determined substances as stated in legal acts. Methodology In the following the relevant decision trees from the GPG (Good Practice Guidance) chapter 3 are investigated with respect to the Danish F-gas calculations compliance with GPG. Emission of substitutes from ODS – decision tree figure 3.11 For the Danish calculation of F-gases it is basically a Tier 2 bottom up approach which is used, while data is reported from identified importers and users of F-gasses in DK. As for verification using import/export data a Tier 2 top down approach is applied. In an annex 4 to the F-gas emission report 2006 (Environmental Protection Agency), there is a specification of the applied approach for each sub source category. Emission factors Consumption data of F-gases are provided by suppliers and/or producers. Emission factors are primarily defaults from GPG which are assessed to be applicable in a national context. In case of commercial refrigerants and Mobile Air Condition (MAC), national emission factors are defined and used. In case of PUR foam blowing of shoe and use of system foam EF are stated by the producer. Because of the relative low consumption from PUR foam blowing of shoes and system foam a certain uncertainty is assessed as acceptable. Import/export data Import/export data for sub category sources where import/export are relevant (MAC, fridge/freezers for household) are quantified on estimates from import/export statistic of products + default values of amount of gas in product. The estimates are transparent and described in the annex referred to above. Import/export data for system foam and commercial refrigerators and stationary air condition are specified in the reporting from importers and users. Consistency The time series are consistent as regards methodology. No potential emission estimates are included as emissions in the time series and same emission factors are used for all years. Reporting and documentation The national inventories for F-gases are provided on a yearly basis and documented in a yearly report (Environmental Protection Agency, 2004 and 2005). Detailed data from importers and users and calculations are available and archived in electronic version. The report contains summaries of EF used and information on sources, Further details on methodology and EF are included in annex to the report. Activity data are described in a spread sheet for the current year. The spread sheet contains the current year as well as the years back. The current version is used with spreadsheet for data for the current year linking to the Danish inventory databases and for the CRF format. In case of changes to the previous reported data this is work out in spreadsheet versions accordingly and reported with explanations as required in the CRF format. Source specific QA/QC and verification Comparison of emissions estimates using different approaches Inventory agencies should use the Tier 1 potential emissions method for a check on the Tier 2 actual emission estimates. Inventory agencies may consider developing accounting models that can reconcile potential and actual emissions estimates and may improve determination of emission factors over time. This comparison has been carried out in 1995-1997 and for all three years it shows a difference of approx. factor 3 higher emissions by using potential emission estimates. Inventory agencies should compare bottom-up estimates with the top-down Tier 2 approach, since bottom-up emission factors have the highest associated uncertainty. This technique will also minimise the possibility that certain end-uses are not accounted for in the bottom-up approach. This exercise has been partly conducted since data from importers (top down) are assessed against data from users (bottom up) to ensure, that import and consumption are more or less equal. The consumption reported from users are always adjusted to the import of substances, which are the most exact data we have. The uncertainty due to this is, if not all importers are identified because new imported are introduced to the DK market. National activity data check For the Tier 2a (bottom-up) method, inventory agencies should evaluate the QA/QC procedures associated with estimating equipment and product inventories to ensure that they meet the general procedures outlined in the QA/QC plan and that representative sampling procedures were used. This is particularly important for the ODS substitutes sub-sectors because of the large populations of equipment and products. No QA/QC plan specifically for the F-gas calculation is developed. However, QC procedures were carried out as described below. The spread sheets containing activity data has incorporated several data-control mechanisms, which ensure, that data estimates do not contain calculation failures. A very comprehensive QC procedure on the data in the model for the whole time-series has for this submission been carried out in connection to the process which provided (1) data for the CRF background Tables 2(II).F. for the years (1993)-2002 and (2) provided data for potential emissions in CRF Tables 2(I). This procedure consisted of a check of the input data for the model for each substance. As regards the HFCs this checking was done according to their trade names. Conversion was made to the HFCs substances used in the CRF tables etc. A QC was that emission of the substances could be calculated and checked comparing results from the substances as trade names and as the "no-mixture" substances used in the CRF. Emission factors check Emission factors used for the Tier 2a (bottom-up) method should be based on country-specific studies. Inventory agencies should compare these factors with the default values. They should determine if the country-specific values are reasonable, given similarities or differences between the national source category and the source represented by the defaults. Any differences between country specific factors and default factors should be explained and documented. Country specific emission factors are explained and documented for MAC and commercial refrigerants and SF6 in electric equipment. Separate studies has been carried out and reported. For other sub source categories, the country specific emission factor is assessed to by the same as the IPCC default emission factors. Emission check Since the F-gas inventory is developed and made available in full in spread sheets, where HFCs data are for trade names, special procedures are performed to check the full possible correctness of the transformation to the CRF-format through Acces databases. Uncertainties In general uncertainty in inventories will arise through at least three different processes:
Uncertainties due to poor definitions are not expected as an issue in the F-gas inventory. The definitions of chemicals, the factors, sub source categories in industries etc. are well defined. Uncertainties from natural variability are probably occurring in a short term time period, while estimating emissions in individual years. But in a long time period – 10-15 years, these variabilities levels out in the total emission , because input data (consumption of F-gases) are known and are valid data and has no natural variability due to the chemicals stabile nature. Uncertainties that arise due to imperfect measurement and assessment are probably an issue for: emission from MAC (HFC-134a) lead to inexact values of the specific consumption of F-gases. The uncertainty varies from substance to substance. Uncertainty is greatest for HFC-134a due to a widespread application in products that are imported and exported. The greatest uncertainty in the areas of application is expected to arise from consumption of HFC-404a and HFC-134a in commercial refrigerators and mobile refrigerators. The uncertainty on year to year data is influenced by the uncertainty on the rates at which the substances are released. This results in significant differences in the emission determinations in the short term (approx. five years), differences that balances in the long term. I connection to the work on the Danish National Inventory report general uncertainty estimates for F-gases has been worked out to make the uncertainties for the Danish inventories complete. Refer this report given in the reference list in the main report Further improvement of uncertainty analysis with respect to the calculation of F-gas emissions are to be considered in future calculations. References Danish Environmental Protection Agency (2004). Ozone depleting substances and the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs and SF6. Danish consumption and emissions 2002. Environmental Project No. 890. Danish Environmental Protection Agency (2005). Ozone depleting substances and the greenhouse gases HFCs, PFCs and SF6. Danish consumption and emissions 2003. Under publication in English. In Danish: Ozonlagsnedbrydende stoffer og drivhusgasserne HFC'er, PFC'er og SF6. Forbrug og emissioner 2003. Miljøprojekt 987.
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