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Denmark's Fourth National Communication on Climate Change

TABLE 5.18 PROJECTIONS OF DENMARK'S CO2 EMISSIONS IN 2004 -2030 AND EMISSIONS OBSERVED IN 1990, 1995, 2000, AND 2003

Source: 1990-2003: The National Inventory Report (NIR), NERI, April 2005.
2004-2030: Projections of greenhouse gas emissions, Memorandum to the Danish EPA, NERI, May 2005

GREENHOUSE GAS SOURCE AND SINK CATEGORIES 1990 1995 2000 2003 2005 2008-12 2013-17 2020 2025 2030
(Gg CO2)
1. Energy 51502 58992 51290 57635 54762 57180 57176 53685 52840 53629
    A Fuel Combustion Activities (Sectoral Approach) 51239 58627 50696 57085 54252 56670 56685 53345 52499 53288
        1 Energy Industries 26173 31934 25114 31402 28188 29021 28351 24385 22964 23390
        2 Manufacturing Industries and Construction 5376 5890 5786 5404 5389 5915 6173 6439 6688 6814
        3 Transport 10441 11823 12118 12785 13057 13890 14291 14673 15006 15288
        4 Other Sectors 9129 8728 7567 7402 7496 7722 7748 7726 7718 7674
        5 Other (Military mobile combustion of fuels) 119 252 111 92 122 122 122 122 122 122
    B Fugitive Emissions from Fuels 263 365 594 550 510 510 491 341 341 341
        1 Solid Fuels 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
        2 Oil and Natural Gas 263 365 594 550 510 510 491 341 341 341
2. Industrial Processes 1068 1375 1574 1488 1764 1841 1841 1841 1841 1841
3. Solvent and Other Product Use 317 242 212 206 212 212 212 212 212 212
4. Agriculture 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5. Land-Use Change and Forestry (LUCF) 158 -234 1782 -1204 -953 -1195 -1472 -1781 -1963 -2315
6. Waste 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
7. Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
                     
Denmark's Total Emissions/Removals with LUCF 53045 60375 54858 58124 55785 58038 57756 53957 52929 53367
Denmark's Total Emissions without LUCF 52887 60609 53076 59329 56738 59233 59229 55738 54892 55682
Trend under the Climate Convention (1990=100), with LUCF 100 114 103 110 105 109 109 102 100 101
Trend under the Climate Convention (1990=100), without LUCF 100 115 100 112 107 112 112 105 104 105
                     
CO2 emissions related to net electricity import (negative means net electricity export for the year) 6300 -690 659 -6869 -4403 -4375 -2276 -1379 -859 -2868
CO2 emissions related to the years temperature deviation from a normal year (based on degree days) 1879 235 1323 723 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trend under the Climate Convention (1990=100), with LUCF, when adjusted for inter-annual variations in electricity import/export and temperature 100 98 93 85 84 88 91 86 85 82
Trend under the Climate Convention (1990=100), without LUCF, when adjusted for inter-annual variations in electricity import/export and temperature 100 99 90 87 86 90 93 89 88 86
                     
CO2 removals from afforestation since 1990, cf. Article 3.3 in the Kyoto Protocol 0 -10 -59 -108 -141 -262 -401 -555 -646 -822
Trend under the Kyoto Protocol (1990/95=100), with removals cf. Article 3.3 100 115 100 112 107 112 111 104 103 104
Trend under the Kyoto Protocol (1990/95=100), with removals cf. Article 3.3, when adjusted for inter-annual variations in electricity import/export and temperature 100 98 90 87 85 89 93 88 87 85
                     
Memo Items (not included above):                    
International Bunkers 4823 6928 6629 5318 5393 5581 5794 6027 6220 6425
Aviation 1736 1867 2350 2188 2254 2443 2656 2889 3082 3287
Marine 3087 5061 4279 3130 3138 3138 3138 3138 3138 3138
Multilateral Operations 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CO2 Emissions from Biomass 4641 5869 7090 9108 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

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Version 1.0 December 2005, © Danish Environmental Protection Agency